Luzern vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DEL
0 - 0
FCL
64%
19%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 2
NEX
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
LAU
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 0
WIN
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
0 - 0
DEL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LAU
4 - 1
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |