Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 5
LAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 3
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
5 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 5
ZUR
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
THU
2 - 1
VLZ
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |