Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
4 - 0
YOB
18%
22%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 3
FCL
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 3
SIO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
STG
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STG
1 - 3
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |