Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCL
32%
26%
41%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 4
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 5
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STG
3 - 2
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
THU
2 - 0
STG
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GCZ
2 - 1
STG
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
FCV
0 - 3
STG
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
STG
2 - 3
YOB
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |