Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 1
FCL
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
THU
3 - 3
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
STG
0 - 2
YOB
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SIO
2 - 0
STG
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |