Luzern vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
31
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
FCL
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 0
SIO
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 4
STG
20%
22%
59%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |