Luzern vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
7º
57
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 3
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
FCL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GCZ
0 - 1
FCL
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WSG
0 - 6
FCL
3%
9%
88%
|
78 | 17 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
SLP
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 4
SER
6%
13%
82%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
YOB
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YVE
4 - 1
SER
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MEY
0 - 8
SER
5%
13%
82%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |