Luzern vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1981 |
FCL
2 - 2
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
BAS
4 - 4
FCL
84%
10%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
STG
5 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1981 |
SER
0 - 2
NEX
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
SIO
0 - 3
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
SER
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |