Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Luzern vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
YOB
3 - 0
FCL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 1
FCL
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FCL
5 - 1
ZUR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
FCW
1 - 2
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
SER
2 - 3
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 1
FCL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 1
MTK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 0
PEC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
MTK
5 - 1
SZO
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
VAS
2 - 1
MTK
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |