Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
YFJ
1 - 5
FCL
14%
20%
67%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
MEY
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
LAC
0 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 1
MEY
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAC
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 0
LUG
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |