Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 2
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
YVE
3 - 1
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 0
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 0
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |