Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 1
FCL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
FCL
2 - 0
KRI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
FCL
2 - 0
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
LUG
1 - 1
SCH
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 1
LUG
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
LUG
1 - 2
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
ETO
1 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LUG
2 - 0
KRI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |