Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
FCL
0 - 0
LAU
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
FCL
0 - 0
YOB
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
28%
30%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZUR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
YOB
0 - 3
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |