Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
LAU
0 - 2
FCL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
FCL
5 - 2
FCA
51%
28%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
FCL
2 - 1
KRI
71%
21%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCL
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 3
RMA
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 2
NEX
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZUR
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
RMA
3 - 0
LUG
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |