Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1991 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
FCL
0 - 0
SER
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCL
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1991 |
SIO
1 - 0
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
LUG
4 - 0
YOB
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
LUG
0 - 1
LAU
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |