Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
FCL
2 - 1
STG
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
FCL
2 - 0
CSC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
LAU
1 - 3
FCL
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
STG
4 - 0
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
CSC
3 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |