Luzern vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
FCL
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCV
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FCV
3 - 0
LOC
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 2
LAU
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SIO
2 - 1
LOC
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
LOC
2 - 0
WIN
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 2
LOC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |