Luzern vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
LAC
1 - 1
FCL
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
VEV
1 - 4
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1987 |
LOC
1 - 1
VEV
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LAU
3 - 1
LOC
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
LOC
2 - 1
SER
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
GCZ
4 - 4
LOC
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
STG
1 - 0
LOC
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |