Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-9
Luzern vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FIO
4 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 0
JUV
48%
21%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
PAD
0 - 0
FIO
36%
24%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |