Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 3
NEX
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 0
YVE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 2
BEL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
YVE
3 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 3
GCZ
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |