Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 1
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 3
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 1
YOB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
FCW
4 - 3
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |