Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FCL
2 - 2
SIO
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCW
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
YOB
0 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |