Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1988 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 3
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
SER
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
YOB
3 - 1
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
FCA
3 - 1
LAU
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -3 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
FCA
0 - 2
NEX
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |