Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 0-6
Luzern vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
KLA
0 - 1
FCL
39%
23%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 0
KLA
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
STG
0 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 3
ESP
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SHW
2 - 2
ESP
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 0
STJ
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
PER
0 - 6
ESP
8%
17%
76%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |