Luzern vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
LAC
0 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 0
LOC
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
FCL
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
LOC
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 0
FCV
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 2
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
SIO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |