Luzern vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1981 |
STG
5 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CSC
0 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
SER
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NEX
2 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
2 - 4
SIO
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
GCZ
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |