Luzern vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 3
FCL
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 3
SIO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 0
SIO
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
ZUR
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
NEX
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |