Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
11º
6º
10
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 22 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
61.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
21%
22%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 4
FCL
4%
12%
85%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 8
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | -1 |