Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
YVE
2 - 3
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HOR
1 - 2
FCL
7%
18%
75%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
79%
13%
7%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCL
4 - 1
YVE
44%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |