Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
STA
4 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 3
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 2
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 1
LAU
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |