Luzern vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
VEV
4 - 2
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FCW
1 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
FCL
5 - 1
LAU
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
FCL
3 - 1
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 6
FCG
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
4 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 1
STG
24%
27%
50%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAD
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 4
SER
10%
23%
67%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |