Luzern vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
LAC
1 - 1
FCL
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
VEV
1 - 4
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 2
FCL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 5
YOB
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
LAC
3 - 1
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
LAU
2 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |