Luzern II vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 5
LUZ
44%
22%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BUO
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 4
LUZ
21%
21%
57%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 2
DEL
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
LUZ
30%
22%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUG
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
THU
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
THU
1 - 3
SOL
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 3
THU
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
FCM
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |