Luzern II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 0
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 2
SER
70%
17%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DEL
3 - 2
LUZ
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 2
ETO
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
LUZ
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
BRE
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 3
BIE
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
KRI
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |