Luzern II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 3
LUZ
40%
22%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
HON
0 - 0
LUZ
28%
22%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
LAN
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUZ
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BUO
3 - 0
LUZ
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
DEL
2 - 0
FCS
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCS
5 - 0
SCH
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BLA
5 - 1
FCS
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 0
LAN
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |