Luzern II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 0
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUZ
3 - 0
WAN
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
THU
2 - 2
LUZ
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 0
FCM
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 2
LUZ
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
BER
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
4 - 0
FCS
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 2
BLA
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BUO
5 - 0
FCS
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FCS
3 - 1
SOL
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |