Luzern II vs Serrieres Neuchatel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 0
LUZ
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUZ
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 2
WAN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MUT
3 - 1
LUZ
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Serrieres Neuchatel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 0
FCK
36%
24%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 0
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 4
FCG
48%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |