Luzern II vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 3
LUZ
47%
22%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
YOU
3 - 1
LUZ
55%
21%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BER
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
69%
17%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
BER
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 2
CON
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
FCS
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 0
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
KRI
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |