Luzern II vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 2
LUZ
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 0
SCH
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
19%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LUZ
4 - 1
FCG
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 4
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 3
MUN
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 2
BLA
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 0
BLA
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 0
WAN
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
BLA
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |