Luzern II vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 2
LUZ
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SCB
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
LUZ
29%
22%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 3
DEL
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAV
1 - 3
LAU
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAV
2 - 2
SIO
67%
17%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 1
BAV
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAV
1 - 1
BUL
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
BAV
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |