Luzern II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BIE
1 - 6
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 3
BUL
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 1
LUZ
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KOS
0 - 2
LUZ
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 0
GRA
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
3 - 2
CHI
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
BAD
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 0
BAS
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ZUR
11 - 0
BAD
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
BAD
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |