Luzern II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCS
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 3
LUZ
40%
22%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
HON
0 - 0
LUZ
28%
22%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
LAN
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUZ
88%
9%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 4
SCH
35%
22%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 2
BAD
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 3
DEL
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 2
NUE
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAD
0 - 1
BLA
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |