Luxembourg U19s vs Poland U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 1
LUX
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CYP
1 - 2
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BLR
2 - 2
LUX
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 8
ENG
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
POL
3 - 0
CYP
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
BIH
2 - 0
POL
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
POL
2 - 4
UKR
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
MNE
2 - 1
POL
35%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |