Luxembourg U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
77.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
RUS
6%
13%
82%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
LUX
1 - 2
LVA
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
LUX
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
SVK
1 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 62 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
5 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
2%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
RUS
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
87%
10%
4%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LVA
1 - 2
POR
12%
19%
70%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 3
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |