Luxembourg U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 3
SWE
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 2
BIH
13%
21%
67%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
IRL
2 - 0
LUX
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 1
IRL
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
BIH
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MNE
1 - 1
ITA
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |