Copa Verde Last 16
Global 0-5
Luverdense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
LUV
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEC
2 - 1
LUV
12%
24%
63%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 0
POC
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 3
MIX
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
ITU
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |