Matogrossense Final
Global 1-0
Luverdense vs Sinop FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 0
CUI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
LUV
5 - 0
AAC
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 2
LUV
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 0
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CEC
0 - 0
LUV
16%
26%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sinop FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SIN
3 - 1
AAC
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
SIN
2 - 1
OPE
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
URO
1 - 0
SIN
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CUI
0 - 3
SIN
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIN
1 - 0
CUI
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |