Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
Luverdense vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 3
LUV
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 0
LUV
15%
22%
62%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 0
LUV
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AAC
2 - 2
LUV
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 0
URO
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 0
LUV
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 1
SDS
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
RDA
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SDS
0 - 2
INT
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
SDS
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |