Luverdense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
LUV
2 - 0
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUV
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
LUV
2 - 1
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
GAM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUV
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BOA
2 - 0
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |