Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-1
Luverdense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
4 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
LUV
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUV
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
4 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 1
CUI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
FOR
46%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
LUV
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |